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using futures and options.. Technical Analysis on EUR/USD
Bearish on EUR/USD -Introducing Trading Center (TC) Index
Things in Eurozone are not going exactly well. Recession and high unemployment jeopardize the European Economy and pushes ECB to take instant measures. Even if Eurozone introduced Eurobonds the problem will not be sold. A great interest rate cut is absolutely needed which will lead mathematically to a long-term Euro depreciation. Moreover, Greek elections in the 17th of June will be crucial in determining the future of Eurozone.
Technical Analysis using TCI indicator on EUR/USD
After applying TCI indicator on EUR/USD we confirmed a Sell signal. Today is Thursday the 17th of May 2012 and the EUR/USD is at about 1.270. Long-term target is set to 1.210 and time frame is set to 16 working days. So we think that a downward movement of EUR/USD is possible to about 1.21 that should end in Friday, the 8th of June 2012.
EUR/USD pair since its birth (12/31/1998)
Starting with a common line chart on EUR/USD from its birth (12/31/1998) to today (5/17/2012). Black line represents daily closing EUR/USD quote and the blue line represents the moving average of 180 days.
Chart: Line Chart on EUR/USD 1999-2012
Technical Analysis on Nasdaq using TCI Indicator
INTRODUCING TCI% INDICATOR TO THE WEB
Trading Center has developed an innovative technical analysis indicator named TCI. TCI measures several daily price factors (high, low, close etc) and producing predictions upon the price trend of any traded financial asset. Today, using TCI we are going to identify Nasdaq Composite future price trend but most importantly the upcoming time frame. First comes a short analysis, after a time frame and the historical TCI chart for Nasdaq since 1998.
Our TCI -technical analysis indicator is presented today for the first time in the World Wide Web or anywhere else.
TCI Indicator on Nasdaq Composite
Today is late Sunday, the 6th of May 2012 -and we are going to test TCI on Nasdaq during the period 7th of May 2012 until the 15th of May 2012.
TCI suggests that the Correction Phase is expected to continue (Short term Sell / Hold)
Nasdaq Composite during the past months has been strong reaching 3,134 points intraday in March, 27, 2012. The past weak a correction started and led Nasdaq at 2,956 points in the closing of Friday the 4th of May. This correction is expected to continue until the 15th of May 2012. Long term analysis of Nasdaq will be the subject of an upcoming analysis on Trading Center, today we focus only in short term. Using Trading Center index TCI we can design a time frame and set our two targets.
Dow Jones Industrial –Defining the master trend
Is Dow Jones heading for 14,100 or for 12,000?
Current Trend
Dow Jones Industrial is found today at 13.150. The long term trend is certainly bullish, as US economy and corporate news are both looking well. Especially as long as unemployment is falling and technology is pushing the economy to grow more. Looking at the whole picture –it is very possible that Dow Industrial during 2012 will test its historical record of 14,164.53 (October, 9th, 2007). It shouldn’t be forgotten that Dow Industrial usually performs well during Election Years. Based on historical statistics, Dow performs well on the Election years and bad on the years after.
What could ruin this nice picture?
But what could really ruin this nice bullish picture? The real danger for the US economy and Dow Jones respectively is coming from the other side of the Atlantic. European economy is very weak at the time, with zero growth and high unemployment. Moreover, the countries of the South (Spain, Greece, Italy and Portugal) and also Ireland suffer from heavy deficits and are still considered very dangerous for capital lenders. These systemic fears are transformed to high interest rates of government lending -which are also transformed to larger deficits. If we put all the pieces together we may conclude that things may get worse, especially as concerns the European Banks. This whole situation creates a major problem for the global economy and it will certainly jeopardize the course of the American markets in 2012. If everything goes bad in 2012, Dow will probably test 12.000.
