Changes in money supply and monetary liquidity conditions can highly affect the trend of any financial market. The following analysis investigates this intermarket phenomenon by breaking down the basic components of money supply and liquidity. Later, a hypothetical global liquidity index is constructed to research the correlation between global liquidity and the S&P 500, the US Dollar Index, and Bitcoin.
Highlights:
- Money supply refers to the total amount of money circulating in the economy, while liquidity refers to how easily this money circulates
- Liquidity represents an interplay between the supply of and the demand for money and may be expressed as the difference between the expansion of money supply and the growth of money demand
- Equities are highly correlated to global liquidity conditions, but there can be significant delays (the time lag can be around 20 months)