Financial markets are highly cyclical, and this can be attributed to multiple reasons - the rhythmic expansion and contraction of the economy, the cyclicality of investment flows, and our own human nature. Periods of excessive fear and greed among retail investors push markets to form tops and bottoms, which then correct, reinforcing the cyclical nature of capital markets. This topic is examined in greater depth in my latest book, ‘The Capital Cycle.’
As cyclical analysis plays a critical role in understanding market structure, TradingCenter.org has, over the years, presented a broad range of methodologies, including the Wyckoff Accumulation/Distribution, Elliott Wave Principle, T.D. Sequential, and Harmonic Patterns. This time, we turn to another influential framework in cycle analysis: J.M. Hurst’s Cycle Model.
What is J.M. Hurst’s Nominal Cyclical Model (NMC)
Developed in the 1960s, Hurst's Cycle Model is a cyclical analysis framework that aims to identify structure in financial markets, enabling a degree of relative predictability. The basis of this concept is the recognition of repeating cycles following a hierarchical, wave-like structure.
Read more: Exploring the J.M. Hurst Nominal Cyclical Model (NMC)


